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Eikland Energy Analysis: The U.S. DOE LNG export moratorium and a case for a 200 mtpa export ceiling
The announcement of a moratorium on the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) awarding new LNG export permits (including extensions) on January 22, 2024, has stirred dissatisfaction among project developers and potential LNG…
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On Europe´s gas storage situation, role in price determination, and winter price outlook
The EU is poised to reach 80% average gas storage fill level this week, and at the current injection rates even 90% by 1 October. The more than 50% storage level rise…
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Leaders union strike: Norwegians bringing outlook for a perfect storm for European natural gas – RESOLVED
10 HOURS AFTER THIS ARTICLE WAS FIRST POSTED, THE NORWEGIAN GOVERNMENT TERMINATED THE STRIKE ACCORDING TO THE PROVISIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS DISCUSSED HERE. AS A RESULT, THE RISK TO EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY HAS…
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Natural gas leading an end-game in Russia’s Ukraine invasion?
After a tumultous spring in all energy markets, new events in the past week are flagposts that signal major movements ahead. While we try not to look too far into the glass…
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Reflections on Europe and natural gas after 90 days of Russia’s war in Ukraine
90 days into the Ukraine conflict, Europe is seeing a powerful revival of small and large natural gas projects that were mothballed or even scrapped as little as a year ago for…
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The flexing of muscles in Russian-European gas relations – A snapshot perspective
European natural gas prices have literally risen exponentially since May 2020 (sauf a winter bump), and are now at 23 USD/MMBtu, a massive 75% over crude oil parity and 3x over our…
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Growing LNG oversupply – Energy market implications and supporting data
The global LNG supply surplus will double and exceed 50 mtpa in the course of the next 6-12 months. The key reasons are a significant LNG demand weakening, in part because of…
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LNG ADPs 2018-20: Surplus vs Strategy
The next three years will see 30+ mt annual firm increases in LNG capacity and a large supply overhang. Only major utilisation of spare regasification capacity in China and Europe can absorb…
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A Yuletide review of energy
Yule means wheel and the mid-winter start of a new cycle. 2016 is drawing to a close and energy markets approach normalcy again. After a tumultuous period of contracting business it is therefore natural…
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An energy “liquidity trap” – challenges and opportunities
Old ideas can be surprisingly powerful when used in new or different areas. This is the case of the “liquidity trap” business dilemma of Keynesian economics. The liquidity trap implies that lower prices…
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Panama Canal Charges for LNG and a Brave New World of Global Gas
After two years of discussions and lobbying by users, the Panama Canal Administration last week set the tariff schedule for LNG vessel passage. For the 175,000m3 LNG “PanaMax” vessel, the round-trip cost…
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Japan Crude Coctail forever?
Asian interest in breaking the traditional link between LNG import prices and crude oil has been intense for several years. Initiatives to establish regional hubs and spot price indexes have until now…
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Short term LNG import forecast for Europe – another spring offensive by Qatar?
On 1 April 2014, a veritable flood of natural gas appeared from the South Hook LNG terminal in the UK. Is there a risk for the same again this spring? The Energy Perspectives…
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Killing king coal – An optimistic scenario for natural gas
After several years of struggle, natural gas is again “in merit” in marginal price terms in broad parts of Europe and in the rest of the world, not only in the US. …
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Natural Gas Recapture of the UK Power Market, and the Butterfly Effect
The incredible has happened – again. The fall in NBP gas prices by about 50% from over 70 p/th this past winter has made natural gas attractive for power generation in the UK. The…
